Here is the xG from the N Forest game. For the third week running, we outscored our xG, hopefully ending claims of not being clinical enough, in a game that was far more even then the scoreline showed. AFCB went one nil up in the 9th minute as the N Forest defence backed away from Kluivert, and having run some distance took a shot from 25 yards that nestled in the bottom left corner. (rated 1 in 13). As had been stated, the first goal was likely to be critical as the visitors had shown they were adept at defending an advantage. The rest of the half was nip and tuck, with no real chances. The xG at the break, was AFCB 0.25 N Forest 0.23.
AFCB started the second half with a reasonable chance, with Ouattara heading at Sels (1 in 11) and N Forest immediately countered with Milenkovic seeing a header tipped over by Kepa in what was, at that point, the best chance of the match (1 in 6). Six minutes later it was 2-0, Kluivert hanging a cross up for Ouattara who jumped high to head home (1 in 4). The momentum was with Bournemouth now with Semenyo having a 1 in 10 chance saved, before Ouattara, made his way in the box, and shot across Sels into the far corner to make it 3-0 (1 in 10). As the game progressed, N Forest had 2 quick chances, with Gibbs-White shooting wide from a close-range angle (18%) and Morato having a header blocked (1 in 10) with the xGs remaining similar into the 85th minute. Then, a shot from Tavernier was poorly dealt with by Sels with the rebound falling nicely for Ouattara who was following up to slide it past the keeper (1 in 2). In the final minutes, Semenyo, scored in the far corner threading it through a defenders legs (1 in 20) and Tavernier had a free kick in a dangerous position that went just over (1 in 5). The final xG was AFCB 1.69 N Forest 0.98, with understat having the margin considerably wider, at 2.83 vs 1.00.
