Kudos
UTC Legend
Is there some kind of anomaly taking place this season? If xG worked as you'd expect then you'd think it would deliver an approximate balance of 0 if you added up the xG total for all the teams.
Not exact I know but as a rough figure it should be approaching zero since that's the principle behind it. Some teams would overperform and some underperform and, with some deviation from the average, the cumulative total would be dragged towards a neutralish figure.
Yet look at the table for this season so far:
View attachment 16786
Only three teams are overperforming and the total is cumulative is 73.67 fewer goals than expected - or an average about 3.7 goals per club under the expected total.
Seems a bit odd. Either something is out with the model or there's something strange going on. Any thoughts @Matt Stevenson as our resident expert?
Or is it like this every season? Doesn't make sense to me if that's the case.
I used AI to do the maths on the image so might be off but it's 761 (rounded up) total xG so it's off by about 10%