Non- Wagner group

Interesting piece by Diana Magnay.


BBC

'I don't think any of us expected Prigozhin's life expectancy to be long' - Sean Bell​

We're getting immediate reaction from our military analyst Sean Bell, who says we've been talking about Yevgeny Prigozhin for "well over a year now".

"After that aborted coup, I don't think any of us expected Prigozhin's life expectancy to be more than, I think we predicted three months," he says.

And it wasn't a fall from a hotel window that may have ended Prigozhin - it is an air crash.

Bell says that following the unsuccessful Wagner Group mutiny, led by Prigozhin, many would have expected Vladimir Putin to "act very swiftly and decisively".

"Probably, because of the influence Prigozhin had, not only as an oligarch but as the leader of the Wagner Group, absolutely Putin would not want to make a martyr of him.

"Therefore there was a bit of tap dancing around what to do."

Bell points out the Russian military has delivered few battlefield successes, with many of these claimed by the Wagner Group.

Over the past couple of months, he says, Prigozhin's business empire has been "gradually broken apart".
 
It's the start of the beginning of the end for Putin. . ..it can't be too far ahead....and then maybe Nations like Kazakhstan for example, with it's enormous natural resource status, will emerge stronger to rival or overtake Russia as the dominant power in Central Asia..
Things are bound to change drastically this century.. on this area of the Planet which is basically the middle between USA and China...with India, Pakistan and Iran placed neatly to the South... and we don't even know for sure who will group with who... for Warring alliances.

Any decent student Atlas will give interesting clues as to what will be fought over...but we cannot underestimate the mineral resources that lie under the still frozen but slowly melting icelands of Siberia and Northern Russia generally.
..it's so interesting with lots of non - fiction books being written on how things might pan out this century.
I've read New Silk Roads by Peter Frankopan an Oxford Historian (2018) about trading across and from Asia./ China .. And just started his new one 'The Earth Transformed' ..which discusses human interactions through history, climate changes and effects plus includes Brexit and Trump references.
 
Suprised Alexey Navalny wasn’t on the plane also …. Those Russkies don’t feck around do they .
 
If things started to go downhill fast for Russia, for Putin...I'm sure there will be someone or two in the power chain that would have the notion to bump him off and subsequently get an Emergency plan in place...it's possibly even been discussed already from a disillusioned group...or just a lone operator with enough resource to plan it and carry it out swiftly.
His successor is in there somewhere and maybe quite a way down the chain and conceivably more looney than Putin.
Several plans were conceived for Hitlers assassination in the middle of WW2 when visionary individuals in Germany started to see where it was all heading...unfortunately none were successful.
 
It's the start of the beginning of the end for Putin. . ..it can't be too far ahead....and then maybe Nations like Kazakhstan for example, with it's enormous natural resource status, will emerge stronger to rival or overtake Russia as the dominant power in Central Asia..
Things are bound to change drastically this century.. on this area of the Planet which is basically the middle between USA and China...with India, Pakistan and Iran placed neatly to the South... and we don't even know for sure who will group with who... for Warring alliances.

Any decent student Atlas will give interesting clues as to what will be fought over...but we cannot underestimate the mineral resources that lie under the still frozen but slowly melting icelands of Siberia and Northern Russia generally.
..it's so interesting with lots of non - fiction books being written on how things might pan out this century.
I've read New Silk Roads by Peter Frankopan an Oxford Historian (2018) about trading across and from Asia./ China .. And just started his new one 'The Earth Transformed' ..which discusses human interactions through history, climate changes and effects plus includes Brexit and Trump references.
I've been to the end of the Silk road. Decent pint too and a 2-1 win.
 

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