AFC Bournemouth v Manchester United - Saturday 5.30 pm

billythekid

UTC Legend
AFCB Looking To Complete Double Over United

The Cherries after a five game unbeaten run were defeated at Luton by 2-1. Their next game is back home at Dean Court on Saturday at 5.30 pm against Manchester United who sit in 6th place in the table and could finish well short of last seasons 75 points with seven games to play. After beating Manchester United on their ground for the first time in any competition, it would be good to see the Cherries complete the double over them in the league for the first time in their history.

Since our great 0-3 win at Old Trafford, United in their away games drew 0-0 against Liverpool, lost at West Ham 2-0, then they were beaten 2-1 by Nottingham Forest. They then had a four game winning run with three of them away from home. First they beat Wolves 3-4 and the games against Aston Villa and Luton Town both finished 1-2. In the Manchester derby they lost 3-1 against City, in their game at Brentford it finished honours even in a 1-1 draw and their last away game against Chelsea they lost 4-3.

At home since our game in December, United have W 3, D 2, L 1. Their most recent game was against a side in a three horse race to win this season’s title. Liverpool were the visitors to Old Trafford and in a game with the first half dominated by the Merseysiders, they only went in at half-time 0-1. In the second half a mistake by a Liverpool player’s pass went to Bruno Fernandes in the middle of the pitch and he spotted the United keeper off his line to make the score 1-1 with a great finish. United went in front with another well struck shot to take the lead, but with six minutes of normal time, Liverpool equalised from the penalty spot and that was the last goal of a game Liverpool should have won with the chances they had.

The last time our two sides met at Dean Court was last season in our last home game of the season. The only goal of the game scored by Casemiro in the ninth minute decided this fixture. It also turned out to be Gary O’Neils last game as our manager in front of the home fans.

In our home league games against Manchester United, AFCB have W 2, D 0, L 4.
All competitions, AFCB have W 4, D 3, L 14.

AFCB Team News
Just after coming back to form it looks like we could be losing Marcus Tavernier to another hamstring injury. Also there has been illness in the squad which could affect our starting lineup.

AFCB Player To Watch
Dominic Solanke is due a goal and if he gets it he will break the club record of most Premier League goals in a season which he jointly holds with Josh King. The other player is Antoine Semenyo, been on top form in recent games, except the most recent game at Luton, like a number of other players who were not 100% fit due to illness.

Manchester United Team News
They have a long injury list and the latest name to to be added to it is Marcus Rashford who had to be substituted in the game against Liverpool.

Manchester United Player To Watch
Their midfield player and captain Bruno Fernandes. Scored 6 goals in the league this season and leads with 6 assists. Scored in his last two games for his team. Their striker Rasmu Hojland had a purple patch in January and February where he scored 6 goals and had 2 assists in five games. But hasn’t scored in his last three league games.

The Referee
Tony Harrington is the referee for this game, he was in charge in our game at Leeds last season.
 
A double over this shower would be the peak of my 62 years since paying 9d at the South End turnstiles as a 10 year old....which was only about 4 years after Busbys Babes cheated their way to winning that FA Cup quarter final.
Mind it was sad what happened to many of them in 58.

My dad went to his grave in 2001 still peeved and persecuted about that Cup result.
Every time we beat them i'm 'In the Clouds' with the old man.
 
A double over this shower would be the peak of my 62 years since paying 9d at the South End turnstiles as a 10 year old....which was only about 4 years after Busbys Babes cheated their way to winning that FA Cup quarter final.
Mind it was sad what happened to many of them in 58.

My dad went to his grave in 2001 still peeved and persecuted about that Cup result.
Every time we beat them i'm 'In the Clouds' with the old man.
I posted a few years back now of a chance meeting of Ollie Norris and myself here in Melbourne and his recollection of the controversial goal In question and what my late father, who was at the match, had to say about it.
 
I posted a few years back now of a chance meeting of Ollie Norris and myself here in Melbourne and his recollection of the controversial goal In question and what my late father, who was at the match, had to say about it.
Ollie tried to put off Man Utd players when taking throw-ins by standing right up to them and I believe this led to a rules change to prevent it. Any of the older fans recall this?
 
Ollie tried to put off Man Utd players when taking throw-ins by standing right up to them and I believe this led to a rules change to prevent it. Any of the older fans recall this?
Yeah..after our victory over Spurs at Dean Court in the previous round, the Spurs captain Danny Blanchflower, a fellow Northern Irish player, took offence at Norris's gamesmanship antics at the thrown ins...and moved to get Ollie banned from playing for N Ireland....and eventually, as you say, it led to a rule change !
 
I’ve looked at the last 4 league games for Man U. These were two home games (Everton and Liverpool) and away at Brentford and Chelsea. Man U gained 5 points although the xGs suggested this was an overperformance with the team being better than Everton but being comprehensively outplayed in the other 3 games. Man U have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 with xG estimating 5.48 goals with 11.59 conceded. It is unlikely that this overperformance, in both goals scored and conceded will continue.

Goals xG.png

Man U have had 4 different goal scorers with Fernandes having scored 3 goals. 5 players having one assist each.

The average positions of the starting line-ups are below. There appears to be no real pattern apart from clustering in the centre circle and lack of width (unless players are rotating which wing they are playing on).

Av pos.png

The following graph compares summary stats of Man U and AFCB over the last 4 games. The one striking feature is the number of goal attempts that Man U are conceding which is over 25 per game and with 18 big chances across 4 games. Whilst the opposition in the last two games have been tough these are poor numbers. In contrast, AFCB are conceding less than half the number of chances and big chances.

Comparison.png

AFCB have slightly more percentage possession at 50%. Man U appear to have been poor at defending set pieces (although they have conceded 2 penalties).

Percentages.png
 
It’s only 1-0
It’s only 1-0
55,000 empty seats
It’s only 1-0

It’s only 2-0
It’s only 2-0
60,000 empty seats
It’s only 2-0

It’s only 3-0
It’s only 3-0
65,000 empty seatss
It’s only 3-0

It should have been 4
It should have been 4
F*ck off back to London
It should have been 4
 
A double over this shower would be the peak of my 62 years since paying 9d at the South End turnstiles as a 10 year old....which was only about 4 years after Busbys Babes cheated their way to winning that FA Cup quarter final.
Mind it was sad what happened to many of them in 58.

My dad went to his grave in 2001 still peeved and persecuted about that Cup result.
Every time we beat them i'm 'In the Clouds' with the old man.
A family do was never complete without one of many cousins mentioning the penalty decision against Man Utd, my Dad and at least one of his nine siblings would rage against the ref’s performance that day, this went on well into this century. My Dad’s youngest brother was 80 on Sunday, I couldn’t get there but I’ve had a few messages this week to say that he was complaining of VAR decisions going against Boscombe and he said that there has always been a conspiracy against us as we are fundamentally better people than the rest of the country. UTC
 

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