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:). Although to be fair to him, his xG this season is only 1.93. This is from 40 attempts so he is taking a lot of low chance shots. He almost scored from one of these vs Arsenal (hitting the bar, although the Solanke "foul" would have stopped it) Last season he had an xG of 2.75 and scored 1...

There will be bias, although the amount is hard to know, The simplest example is on penalties where all players will have about 79% chance to score, which is based on historical data (so maybe 7889 penalties out of 10,000 were scored). But in reality a specialist penalty taker against an...

No, which is a valid criticism and why these are guides / for interest only (although betting sites are using them too). It is essentially based on the average attacker against the average keeper at the level the database collects data (mainly Europe's top leagues I think). This means you can...

But a few of the low chance shots will go in because of a deflection / poor keeping etc. On average 1 in 10 shots with a xG of 0.1 will go in compared with 1 in 2 if the xG was 0.5 so I think it is fair to tally them up. The xG itself has been calibrated to come up with the value allocated to...

I’ve looked at the last 4 league games for Brentford. These were two home games (Shef U and Fulham) and away at Luton and Everton. Brentford gained 7 points, which appears fair, although if anything a little high. Brentford have scored 7 goals and conceded 2 with xG estimating 5.67 goals with...

Here is a plot of teams vs xGc Shef Utd seem to be the big losers here. We are marginally underperforming.

I had a look as I didn't know. Using Understat data, we are actually second worse when comparing xG against goals scored. We have scored 52 but were expected to score 60.68. Everton seem to be doing very badly. 8 teams are overperforming (in blue), 12 underperforming (in white) I'll look at...

It’s been reported that it was because Solanke fouled Raya. No pundit I have heard has supported the decision to disallow the goal (without giving a penalty). Someone mentioned Keown might have agreed, but he isn’t the most intellectually gifted.

I was pleasantly surprised to see how well we were doing in the shots faced table (8th). Sky posted this to highlight Man U's position!

:) I don't think it can be dodgy decisions as the penalties awarded to them and not to the opposition would be factored into the xGs and then predicted points. I think we'd have to say that these numbers are more optimistic than what is really happening as they don't take into account dodgy...

This would support your view (Man U and W Ham seem to be overachieving / lucky). The reverse for Brentford and Forest. It's the table ranked on expected points.

The TLDR of the stats. Very good defensive stats for Ouattara: Won 5 out of 6 tackles and 5 out of 5 headers. Joint most interceptions, most recoveries, most clearances and highest number of defensive actions. xG firmly in Arsenal’s favour, although controversial penalty to Arsenal, and...

The Opta expected goals had Solanke as most likely to score (0.22) with Kluivert (0.13) the only other player above 0,10, although this would change if the disallowed goal had stood. For assists, Christie (0.09) was top, no other player was above 0.05.

Ouattara made most defensive actions with 15. He made most interceptions (3) with Cook, most recoveries (8) and most clearances (4). Senesi and Zabarnyi made joint-most blocks (3). The total number of defensive actions was the second lowest this season after Nottm Forest away. According to...

AFCB won 19 of 34 aerials duals. Ouattara won 5 from 5 and Solanke won 4 from 6. AFCB won 14 of 27 tackles. Ouattara won 5 from 6 and Kluivert won 3 from 4.

AFCB created 3 chances (1 big). Christie set up 2 of these. Arsenal created 20 chances, four big. We had 7 attempts (1 big) noting that chances can be provided after saves, deflections or a defensive error and not created. We hit the target three times. Arsenal had 25 attempts, 5 big, and hit...

AFCB attempted 13 crosses, being successful with none. Our players tried to take on a man 22 times being successful 7 times. Kluivert was successful twice from 3 attempts, with both Cook and Faivre, being successful in their only attempt.

Zabarnyi attempted most passes with 60, Christie attempted most in the opposition’s half (19) and in the final third with 11. We averaged 82% completion with five players having values over 85% (Zabarnyi, Smith, Christie, Cook and Scott).

Senesi had most touches in total (67) ahead of Zabarnyi (66). Christie and Semenyo had the joint highest number of touches in both the opposition half (26) and in the final third with 16. AFCB had 11 touches in the opposition’s penalty area. Solanke had the most (5) followed by Semenyo with 3.

The team was largely as expected apart from Kelly not being in the squad meaning Ouattara (11) played left back, which was concerning as he was up against Saka, although Dango played very well. Cook (4) played deeper than Christie (11) although he did move into the back line when Senesi (25) was...