I’ve looked at the last 4 league games for N Forest. These were two home games (Man U and Arsenal) and away at Newcastle and Brentford. N Forest gained 6 points although the XGs suggested this was about right, with 5 being the most likely. N Forest have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 with xG estimating 5.85 goals with 5.56 conceded meaning more goals conceded and scored than anticipated.
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N Forest have had 6 different goal scorers with Wood the only player to have more than 1 goal with 3, including his hattrick against Newcastle. Elanga has 3 assists, with Montiel having 2 from right back with Hudson-Odoi and Murillo having one each.
The average positions of the starting line-ups are below. Forest look to counterattack (as borne out by low possession stats)with the majority of players in their own half, with the exception of the Brentford game in their own half.
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The following graph compares summary stats of N Forest and AFCB over the last 4 games. On the underlying stats AFCB are doing well with more goal attempts, similar big chances, xG and goals scored, but have much better stats defensively for attempts conceded.
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N Forest have a relatively low percentage possession at 40%, with AFCB at 45%. The values for chances created and conceded from open play are relatively similar.
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www.afcb.co.uk
