Predict your three teams for relegation

Much depends on Everton’s possible points deduction. I know it’s gone to
an independent commission so any indication on deadline for the conclusion?
 
AFCBade said:
Much depends on Everton’s possible points deduction. I know it’s gone to
an independent commission so any indication on deadline for the conclusion?
Click to expand...

The panel is on 25th October but not sure how long they take to return their findings or whether Everton can appeal. I seriously doubt they'll get a points deduction though.
 
It would be typical that they give their decision in April. If Everton are nailed on for relegation they’ll get a points deduction, if not a fine. It would be different for teams like us..
 
kirsikka said:
The panel is on 25th October but not sure how long they take to return their findings or whether Everton can appeal. I seriously doubt they'll get a points deduction though.
Click to expand...
Thanks.

Size of losses is astronomical - don’t think covid was sufficient excuse to run up such a deficit so interested why you think they will escape?
 
AFCBade said:
Thanks.

Size of losses is astronomical - don’t think covid was sufficient excuse to run up such a deficit so interested why you think they will escape?
Click to expand...

First up you have to remember that infrastructure costs don't count toward FFP calculations and so, with the new stadium going up, there are huge amounts of those losses that will simply be excluded.

What's left might still be enough for them to fail. However, it won't be some massive blow the target away fail.

Then there is all the messing with figures around Covid. A lot of teams did some very creative accounting with their FFP numbers then so the panel have to be careful they don't accidentally snare a whole bunch of other clubs with the ruling as that could then get very messy.

Meanwhile, there's the fact if they find them guilty several clubs have indicated an intention to take Everton (and the FA?) to court. Leeds, Leicester, Southampton (what case that lot have I've no clue since they finished rock bottom. Sounds like where there's blame there's claim nonsense to me) and Burnley I think. So they're going to want to be very, very, very sure of themselves before punishing Everton as it's going to drag English football to the courts and through the mud if they do.

Let's say they do find them guilty though, there hasn't yet been a points deduction for a FFP breach in England (afaik, could be wrong there). Fines and transfer embargos yes. So they'd have to consider it a pretty egregious case to go straight to a points deduction.

Now add that I think this case revolves around a single charge whilst, in the background, you have Man City facing over 100 charges. If they issue a points deduction for this one then they face having to give Man City a points deduction in the hundreds of points. How do you think that's going to go with Man City's track record of taking UEFA to court with megamillions lawyers and winning?

So, I think they'll be looking to find them innocent if they can or, if they find them guilty, then it'll be for as small a breach as they can swing it. That way the worst punishment they'll hand out will be a fine and maybe a ban on new signings for a window or two.

This is potentially the first domino in an utter mess for English football so they'll want to avoid knocking it over if they can. Whether that's right or wrong is another matter.

Now I've said all that, I bet they'll get a 10 point deduction. Cos, when it comes down to it, who really knows...
 
Lean towards Luton and Sheffield u as highly likely.

Then one of:
Burnley
Fulham
Wolves
Man City
 
kirsikka said:
Go on then, predict your relegation three. This is who you think will go down, not who you want to go down.

I'll go with:

Wolves
Notts Forest
Notts Forest

I know that, technically, I've listed one team twice but I think it's important to be 100% sure in their case. However, if I can't have them twice then I'll go with Sheff Utd to join them in circling the plughole.

I think Luton will surprise a few people and do enough to survive.
Click to expand...
Luton
Sheffield utd
Brighton
 
CherryBare said:
I actually think it's poorer this season, who would have predicted Leicester would have gone down, maybe saints possibly Leeds, but definitely not all 3 promoted clubs staying up.
Wolves are in disarray, sheff utd have sold their best players, luton will struggle. Not sure it was so clear cut last season.
Click to expand...

You may be right. I think I counted 8 teams last season that we were in direct competition with and we only needed to better 4. I think it's maybe just about 8 again this year.
 
cherrybeetle said:
Is that Man C doing a Rangers and getting relegated to League Two ?!

We can all dream, I s'pose !!
Click to expand...
No, just think they'll finally lose their magic and struggle.

Perhaps not relegated, but I'd be surprised if they're not down there come May.
 
Its getting very tight at the bottom.
Forest only 2 points clear now and next go to Newcastle while Sheffield take on Luton.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

;