Warning – this preview will be less relevant as compared with the recent games as Liverpool have no Salah, Alexander-Arnold, Endo or Matip, and there are question marks over Szoboszlai, and we have no Senesi, Semenyo or Ouattara. Salah has the highest number of goal involvements in the Premier League this season as should be a big miss.
I’ve looked at the last 4 league games for Liverpool. These were three home games (Man U, Arsenal and Newcastle) and away at Burnley. Liverpool were unbeaten and gained 8 points although the XGs suggested it could have been 10 with Liverpool dominant against Man U. Liverpool have scored 7 goals and conceded 3 with xG estimating 12.28 goals with 2.90 conceded, although of the xG 7.11 was against Newcastle which is an all-time high in the Premier League.
Liverpool have had 5 different goal scorers with Salah getting 3 and 4 players with 1 each. Jota has 2 assists, with 5 players with one each.
The average positions of the starting line-ups are below. Salah (who is missing) always plays high on the right. Against an injury hit Newcastle the average positions of Salah and Darwin were amongst the highest I’ve seen.
The following graph compares summary stats of Liverpool and AFCB over the last 4 games. Liverpool have had more chances, more big chances and have a better xG although AFCB have scored more. Liverpool look defensively sound being stronger than AFCB, but both teams’ defences have been good.
As expected, Liverpool have had a greater percentage possession over the last 4 games. Chances created from open play are comparable, although Liverpool long strong from set pieces, with less than 1 in 6 attempts against them coming from this route.