4 games to go, and yes I know who we are playing, but just saying if we win all four I have us finishing 8th. Seems unlikely that will be enough for a European spot this season but would still be an incredible achievement.
For the teams around us, well West Ham and Chelsea have to play each other. West Ham also have to play Liverpool and Man City. Easy to see them dropping more than three points across those three matches.
As well as, in this scenario, losing to us on the last day of the season, Chelsea also have matches against Villa, Spurs, Brighton as well as that West Ham match. Given how erratic they've been, I can easily see them dropping points in a couple of those.
Brighton play Man City tomorrow night and also lose to us in this scenario so that sees us ahead of them. Even if they do something unexpected tomorrow night their other fixtures are Villa, Chelsea, Newcastle, and Man Utd.
So, just the simple matter of winning those four matches now...