Here is the xG from a game of few chances. AFCB took the lead early following Phillips’ mistake allowing Solanke to hit it first time into a largely unguarded net (rated 35% which seems very low). The next 30 minutes were relatively quiet (xGs of 0.02 for W Ham and 0.16 for AFCB). Semenyo then had a big chance being slid in by Solanke (rated 2 in 5) but his shot was too close to Areola. Three minutes later, W Ham had their first real chance with Bowen’s skimmed header being saved. (rated 1 in 3). On the stroke of half-time Semenyo had another chance (1 in 11) tipped over. At the interval the xG was W Ham 0.40 and AFCB 1.00. The second half was quite dull, with AFCB creating only 3 half chances and W Ham likewise apart from the penalty in the 60th minute. The surprise was that the ref didn’t give it directly but went to VAR instead. Ward-Prowse put it down the centre (76%) to equalise. This large rating swung the final xGs which were W Ham 1.31 AFCB 1.13, with Opta having it as W Ham 1.39 and AFCB 1.20. A 1-1 result appears fair.
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